Policy Wonk

Progresa: conditional cash transfers for school and health

Headline result
+0.66 yrs
projected additional schooling per child
RCT
Implemented by
Government of Mexico
Type
National government
Where
Mexico
Region
Latin America & Caribbean
When
1997–2019
Evidence
Randomized controlled trial

The challenge

Rural children left school early to work, and poor families rarely used preventive health care.

The case

In 1997 Mexico's federal government replaced poorly targeted food subsidies with bimonthly cash payments to mothers in poor rural households, conditional on their children attending school and the family keeping up health check-ups. Grants were larger for girls in secondary school. Because the budget only allowed a phased rollout, communities in the evaluation were randomly assigned to start first or later, creating a rigorous comparison. Secondary enrollment rose, most of all for girls, and researchers estimated 0.66 extra years of schooling for children of poor families. The program grew to reach roughly a quarter of Mexican households before it was replaced in 2019.

Why it worked

Building the evaluation into the rollout made the results hard to argue with, which helped the program survive changes of government and spread to dozens of countries. Even so, strong evidence did not stop it from being cancelled decades later.

Sources