Policy Wonk

San Francisco's rent control expansion

Headline result
−15%
rental supply in covered buildings
Quasi-experimental
Implemented by
City and County of San Francisco
Type
City / local government
Where
United States
Region
North America
When
1994–present
Evidence
Quasi-experimental

The challenge

Rising rents threatened to push long-term tenants out of San Francisco.

The case

In 1994 San Francisco voters extended rent control to small multifamily buildings built before 1980. Economists compared buildings just covered by the change with similar buildings that weren't. Rent control reduced covered tenants' mobility by 20 percent and lowered displacement from the city, especially for older residents. But landlords of covered buildings reduced rental housing supply by 15 percent, by selling to owner-occupiers and redeveloping, which the researchers estimated drove up citywide rents by 5.1 percent.

Why the results were mixed

Rent control protected existing tenants but shrank the rental stock, raising costs for future renters. Pairing tenant protections with policies that add supply avoids that trade-off.

Sources