Policy Wonk

Vancouver's foreign buyer tax

Headline result
13.2% → 1.3%
foreign buyers' share of Metro Vancouver home transfers, before vs after tax, 2016
Quasi-experimental
Implemented by
Province of British Columbia
Type
State / regional government
Where
Canada
Region
North America
When
2016–present
Evidence
Quasi-experimental

The challenge

Metro Vancouver home prices were soaring, and foreign buyers were blamed.

The case

In August 2016, with home prices soaring, British Columbia imposed a 15% additional property transfer tax on foreign buyers in Metro Vancouver, later raised to 20%. Purchases by foreign buyers fell sharply and prices dipped in the following months. But prices recovered and kept rising in later years, since foreign buyers were a small share of the market and the underlying shortage of homes remained. Canada later introduced a national ban on most foreign purchases. B.C. government data showed foreign buyers involved in 13.2% of Metro Vancouver residential transfers before the tax, compared with 1.3% from August 2 to September 30, 2016.

Why the results were mixed

Targeting foreign buyers was politically popular and did cool speculation briefly, but it couldn't fix a shortage of homes. Affordability depends mainly on how much housing gets built.

Sources