Policy Wonk

Scared Straight: prison visits to deter youth crime

Headline result
1.6–1.7 to 1
odds of later offending for participants vs no-program controls (meta-analysis)
Meta-analysis
Implemented by
Various US state and local justice agencies
Type
State / regional government
Where
United States
Region
North America
When
1978–present
Evidence
Systematic review / meta-analysis

The challenge

Policymakers wanted a cheap way to deter at-risk teenagers from a life of crime.

The case

Made famous by a 1978 documentary, Scared Straight programs take at-risk young people into adult prisons, where inmates confront them with the realities of incarceration. The idea was copied across US states and other countries because it was cheap and memorable. But when researchers pooled nine randomized trials with 946 young people, they found participants were more likely to offend later than similar young people who received no program at all. Some programs continued anyway, helped by popular TV coverage. The review's authors estimate that the intervention increases the odds of offending by between 1.6 to 1 and 1.7 to 1 compared with doing nothing.

Why it didn't work

Fear-based programs can backfire, and a compelling story is not evidence. This is the classic case for testing a program before scaling it.

Sources