Policy Wonk

Arrest or warning for domestic assault: Milwaukee

Headline result
+64%
likelihood of victims dying of any cause within 23 years when partners were arrested rather than warned
RCT
Implemented by
Milwaukee Police Department, with researchers led by Lawrence Sherman
Type
City / local government
Where
United States
Region
North America
When
1987–88 (23-year follow-up)
Evidence
Randomized controlled trial

The challenge

Police and lawmakers needed to know whether arresting suspects in misdemeanour domestic assault cases protects victims, a question that bears on state-level mandatory arrest laws.

The case

In 1987–88 Milwaukee Police enrolled 1,125 victims of misdemeanour domestic violence (89% female, 70% African-American, mean age 30) in an experiment in which their abusers were randomly assigned to arrest or a warning, with 98% treated as assigned. Twenty-three years later, Lawrence Sherman and Heather Harris gathered state and national death data on all the victims. Victims were 64% more likely to have died of all causes if their partners had been arrested and jailed than if warned and allowed to remain at home. Among the 791 African-American victims, arrest increased mortality by 98%; among the 334 white victims, by only 9%. Murder caused only three of the 91 deaths; heart disease and other internal morbidity caused most.

Why it didn't work

The authors say partner arrests 'apparently increased premature death for their victims', call for replications and detailed risk-factor studies to confirm the findings, and say the conclusions may support repeal or judicial invalidation of state mandatory arrest laws.

Sources